Currently with a 2 game lead with 19 games to go, they control they're own destiny. Making things easier, they host 13 of their final 19 games although home field hasn't been quite the advantage for the WIld Ones that it is for most teams. They've had some uneven months in the past, but have largely been a consistent club who is capable of a run every now and then
San Antonio: 71-72
Home Games: 9 (.556)
Away Game: 10 (.437)
Odds: 25%
Spoiler!
Losing OF Jack Welch was a huge blow for the Generals but they responded with a strong August. Working against them is their indifferent form on the road. If they make it, it'll be due to a string of outstanding performances out of Paul Bishop, Derek Frey, and David Hicks.
At first glance I assumed Toronto would have decent odds due to a ridiculous -8 Pythag. Then I saw their brutal schedule and terrible play on the road and suddenly their odds became by far the longest. Adding to the problems will be the losses of Ted Adams (CF) and Dallas WIlliams (2B/SS) who while not world beaters were key contributors. There's a lot to like about Toronto but it doesn't appear this will be their year
Last edited by DRWebs on Fri May 20, 2016 12:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Combining NL Red and NL Wildcard home field advantage somewhat
NL Red Dillonvale: 91-52
Home Games: 6 (.680)
Away Game: 13 (.588)
Odds: 40%
Spoiler!
You'd think with the 2 game lead I would give the Preds better odds. But a closer look reveals a tough schedule (13 of 19 on the road) and a potentially major injury. While Chad Frank is merely an average player, the Preds are extremely thin in CF and will have to resort to throwing Hark Pei and his 30ish position rating into the fire. Frank should be good to go for the playoffs but the damage may be done by then.
Las Vegas: 89-54
Home Games: 9 (.583)
Away Game: 10 (.662)
Odds: 60%
Spoiler!
They have some work to do being 2 games behind, but the schedule certainly plays into their favor, which includes and all important home series against the leaders. They've alternated great months (.700+ in April, June, August) with average ones (>.500 in May and July), but should be primed to take the division
Currently tied with Las Vegas for the top wildcard spot, Winterfell stands a very good chance of securing the top seed and an all important first round home field advantage. No injuries to speak of and 26-11 (.702) since the calendar turned to August, the Direwolves are locked in. Their pitching and defense are of concern for the playoffs, but they should have no issues getting the job done in the regular season thanks to a hulking lineup that leads the NL in most categories.
Dillonvale/Las Vegas: 91-52/89-54
Odds: 25%
Spoiler!
See notes above. Nothing against either club, but Winterfell is rolling right now
WIll KDog even have internet in time to make this possible franchise altering #1 overall pick? The Legends are the overwhelming favorite to secure the 1st overall selection in the draft and have 10 games on the road where there abysmal .254 winning percentage will help their cause. Multiple injuries and a long "Who's Not" list make their case even stronger.
If only the Shockers would have sucked more as the season wore on. They've improved (used loosely) in July and August and just aren't as terrible as the Legends are on the road. Their decision to play some veterans in the field for their defensive prowess may have hurt their cause in the short term. They do however appear to have a firm grip on the 2nd overall pick
Playing nearly .500 ball (17-18) since August sank their chance at a potential game changer atop the draft. They'll need a lot of help but maybe their decision to throw their young prospects to the wolves in the final weeks will allow them to give Sheltown a run for their money for the 2nd overall selection
