NDL Forum

shel311 wrote:I'm not saying this will last, but this guy on another board has started betting against the Astros and Marlins every game and is tracking it.

I think he hasn't updated in a few days, but as of a few days ago, betting $100 against both teams in every game this year would have yielded so far:

Against the Stros: +$1368

Against the Marlins: +$1049


And another guy did this with the Pirates a few years ago, there's a google doc with all the info. Betting $20 per game, he finished up around $400.

You can view the stats in reverse very easily.

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLo ... gular.html

If you bet $100 ON the Marlins every game, you'd be down $1,973. Now, let's just assume - on average - you had to lay $150 to win $100 betting against the Marlins in every game. They are 13-39.

13 losses: 13 x $150 = -$1,950
39 Wins: 39 * $100 = $3,900

You'd be up just under $2,000 on $100 bets.

However, the trick is to identify teams that will have a huge turnaround at the start of the season while they are still priced at an advantage. It is all arbitrage. That -150 is a bit generous, though. After seing it a lot in April, you've only had to pay $150 to win $100 twice in May ... it's been near 2:1 for most of the month so the value is gone unless the Marlins continue to win at a 25% clip, which is unlikely.

WTF METS?!

trendon wrote:WTF METS?!

Please win Mets so I can see Trendon's FB statuses!!!

Cnasty wrote:

trendon wrote:WTF METS?!

Please win Mets so I can see Trendon's FB statuses!!!

I'm pulling for the Mets big time this year.

There last win was very impressive.

Agreed,that was a hell of a W!

Andrus trolling continues. dunno if its new but hes the best.

shel311 wrote:

Cnasty wrote:

trendon wrote:WTF METS?!

Please win Mets so I can see Trendon's FB statuses!!!

I'm pulling for the Mets big time this year.

There last win was very impressive.

I was saving that one for a special win as she is a dead ringer for my last girlfriend, facially at least.

Sox/Yanks skurred of some thunder

NL Central is wicked right now.

3 Lowest team ERAs in MLB.

St. Louis - 2.99
Pittsburgh - 3.16
Cincinnati - 3.23

I don't see Pit hanging around much longer. Liriano is having a resurgence, Burnett and W. Rodriguez are career 4.00s and Jeff Locke has come out of no where.

It's going to be a great race through the summer in this division.

You even had me confused and I followed right along.

Pitt has lead the division at the AS break the last 2 yrs no? They do this yearly. PLayers go there to rejuvenate their careers and I pick them up in fantasy (Liriano and Burnett lol). History just suggests theyll crash and burn eventually

nick wrote:PLayers go there to rejuvenate their careers

Guys seem to go to Toronto for the opposite reason.

Cnasty wrote:

nick wrote:PLayers go there to rejuvenate their careers

Guys seem to go to Toronto for the opposite reason.

christ dont get me started.

the only thing making me feel better is the Dodgers playing poorly with their 200 mil payroll. thats about it. I deserve to get ripped for talking shit, talk about a bunch of under achievers.

nick wrote: talk about a bunch of under achievers.

other than Dickey last year how many of them have been done a whole lot more than they are doing now?

just asking

The fact that Edwin Encarnacion is even somewhat relevant in MLB is beyond me. He was a such a clown for Cincinnati. Edwin "Error" was his famous local nickname.

ajalves wrote:

nick wrote: talk about a bunch of under achievers.

other than Dickey last year how many of them have been done a whole lot more than they are doing now?

just asking

just about all their starters, no? Buehrle, Romero, Morrow, Dickey, JJ (injury so not unexpected)

Shin-Soo Choo picked up his 17th Hit By Pitch yesterday. That would have tied for him for the MLB lead for 2012. Apparently pitchers don't like him.

He is all over the plate.

Not to mention he gets pissed when he gets hit and acts like a baby. Here's an idea, dont crowd the plate if you dont like getting hit moron.

DRiccio21 wrote:

ajalves wrote:

nick wrote: talk about a bunch of under achievers.

other than Dickey last year how many of them have been done a whole lot more than they are doing now?

just asking

just about all their starters, no? Buehrle, Romero, Morrow, Dickey, JJ (injury so not unexpected)

I'd give you Romero (since he's in like AA now) and Morrow. Buerhrle and JJ are abut the same IMO

Carlos Quentin gets hit every other AB it seems, and breaks pitchers collarbones