Startalk radio on Sept 28th had a virologist and it’s mind boggling
Herd immunity without a vaccine has never happened in history ever
Usually takes 20 years for a vaccine. The fastest was Mumps in 4. The reason this will be done in 18 months is cause the gov is taking all the risk. Even if a vaccine fails they’ll reimburse and all that. Normally it’s hundreds of millions lost and that’s why it takes forever
Every year there’s 4 coronaviruses. When u get one u have immunity for a few years. If ppl get infected again even with covid 2 it’ll be hella weak compared to first. However if ppl get sick a second time and it’s moderate to severe we’ll never have a vaccine
The vaccine will be given to high risk ppl + industries that need it. Children almost certainly won’t get it
Most vaccines and medical you take on the risk and it’s hundreds of millions to do. Every gov across the world has taken the risk to find a cure so companies have no problem working on this if it fucks up whatever no lost money.
A coronavirus models projects deaths due to the virus in the United States will top 400,000 by the end of the year, with 410,000 projected by January 1, according to new data. That would more than double the current U.S. death toll, which stood at more than 188,000 as of Saturday, according to Johns Hopkins University.
GeorgesGoons wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 11:34 am
I just don't see us hitting that projection.
A coronavirus models projects deaths due to the virus in the United States will top 400,000 by the end of the year, with 410,000 projected by January 1, according to new data. That would more than double the current U.S. death toll, which stood at more than 188,000 as of Saturday, according to Johns Hopkins University.
What makes you think the trends are gonna change anytime before the end of the year? No shutdown coming no substantial mask wearing. Seems like the perfect combination to do better then what's predicted
Also we at 60k more deaths the the data used for that quote.
GeorgesGoons wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 11:34 am
I just don't see us hitting that projection.
A coronavirus models projects deaths due to the virus in the United States will top 400,000 by the end of the year, with 410,000 projected by January 1, according to new data. That would more than double the current U.S. death toll, which stood at more than 188,000 as of Saturday, according to Johns Hopkins University.
What makes you think the trends are gonna change anytime before the end of the year? No shutdown coming no substantial mask wearing. Seems like the perfect combination to do better then what's predicted
Also we at 60k more deaths the the data used for that quote.
I guess I am not sure how many people are dying a day. I am staying away from most news and just been generally busy lately. We would need around 3k a day in covid deaths. Are we hitting that now?
Confirmed cases are off the charts at schools in our district right now. It coincides with when the governor moved us to 'phase 3' which effectively ended all restrictions outside of school.
Everyone still has masks on all day at the school, but once they leave....
From what I've seen it's been 1000+ deaths a day for some time and that's before we had these past 7-14 days of 100k plus a day of confirmed cases. So I'd expect to see the deaths skyrocket in the coming weeks.
Last edited by Crowes on Thu Nov 12, 2020 12:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The 7 day avg is right around 1000 but my guess is it's about to increase sharply.
We're seeing about 3 times as many cases as we were seeing about 5 weeks ago. As of the last 2 days, we're starting to see big increases as a result of the increase in cases, so the daily death count logically will start/continue to rise.
That being said, we are definitely treating COVID much better now that we know more about it.
I know 5 people personally with it right now, all 30 or younger. The wife's best friends brother in law (over 60 years old) just passed away from complications from it last week as well.